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BNP Paribas looks forward to 2025: The Federal Reserve is expected to stay put for the whole year, and the US yield will rise. The 2025 outlook report released by BNP Paribas on Thursday shows that the yield of US Treasury bonds is expected to rise, and under the strong dollar, it will reach parity against the euro. The bank predicts that with the entry into force of the tariff measures proposed by the incoming Trump administration, the US inflation rate will start to pick up from the middle of next year, prompting the Fed to remain inactive throughout 2025. Calvin Tse, the bank's head of macro strategy for the Americas, said that customers are advised to continue to allocate low US Treasury bonds next year, because they expect that inflation will accelerate from mid-2025 after the soft landing of the economy, and the yield of 10-year Treasury bonds will be 4.65% at the end of the year. Tse also said that inflation is expected to be higher and the Fed is more hawkish next year.Brazilian President Lula is in good condition after undergoing surgery again. The medical team of Brazilian President Lula said on the 12th that Lula was in good condition and "very stable" after undergoing intracranial vascular surgery on the same day, and he is expected to be discharged on the 16th or 17th. Roberto ahmed khalil, a member of the President's medical team, said at the press conference: "The operation was very successful, which is a supplement to the surgery on the 10th." He said that Lula is awake and has eaten, and his condition is very stable. He is expected to be discharged on the 16th or 17th. (Xinhua News Agency)U.S. policy outlook is uncertain. Lagarde lamented that the EU would "ask for it" for political uncertainty. European Central Bank President Lagarde said that the monetary policy decision of policymakers on Thursday was shrouded in the turbulent political situation in Europe. Although Lagarde did not directly mention the collapse of the French and German governments in recent weeks, she pointed out that it is not conducive to the central bank's decision-making to keep the fiscal plan and election results in suspense. At present, policymakers are still paying attention to the impact of Donald Trump's return to power. "We hope that many things will become clear in the coming months," Lagarde told reporters. "If we have discussed anything in the past two days, it is the uncertainty we are facing, whether it is the political situation from some member States or the US policy."

Uruguay's GDP in the third quarter increased by 4.1% year on year.American natural gas futures fell more than 3.00% in the day and are now reported at $3.351/million British heat.Market news: Trump team seeks to integrate or cancel banking regulators.

Market News: Russian President Vladimir Putin will extend the ban on the sale of petroleum and petroleum products against the crude oil price ceiling until June 30, 2025.Sixteen people have been sentenced for the anti-corruption storm in football. Since Li Tie, the former head coach of China Men's Football Team, was investigated in November 2022, a new round of anti-corruption storm has blown up in China football. The storm has become more and more fierce, involving not only players gambling and bribery at the top of the club, but also corrupt elements at the top of the Football Association and even the General Administration of Sports. Today, Li Tie's case and Du Zhaocai's case, the former vice chairman of the Chinese Football Association, were pronounced in the first instance. Up to now, 16 people have been sentenced in China football (Beijing Daily)Minister of Transport of the Syrian Transitional Government: Aleppo Airport is ready, and the civil airport is trying to recover. On the evening of the 12th local time, the Minister of Transport of the Syrian Transitional Government said that he was working hard to prepare for the recovery of the Syrian civil airport for planes to take off and land. At the same time, the department is also coordinating the operational procedures for transit with neighboring countries. The minister said that in the next few hours, Syrian airspace will be opened to air traffic. At present, Aleppo International Airport in Syria is ready, and Syria will announce the operation dates of Damascus International Airport and Aleppo International Airport in the next few days.